Search results for "Variance function"
showing 10 items of 29 documents
Temperature Covariance in Tree Ring Reconstructions and Model Simulations Over the Past Millennium
2017
Spatial covariance in the simulated temperature evolution over the past millennium has been reported to exceed that of multiproxy-based reconstructions. Here we use tree ring-based temperature reco ...
On the Estimation of the Volatility-Growth Link
2012
It is common practice to estimate the volatility-growth link by specifying a standard growth equation such that the variance of the error term appears as an explanatory variable in this growth equation. The variance in turn is modeled by a second equation. Hardly any of existing applications of this framework includes exogenous controls in this second variance equation. Our theoretical findings suggest that the absence of relevant explanatory variables in the variance equation leads to a biased and inconsistent estimate of the volatility-growth link. Our simulations show that this effect is large. Once the appropriate controls are included in the variance equation consistency is restored. I…
Ray-Space-Based Multichannel Nonnegative Matrix Factorization for Audio Source Separation
2021
Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has been traditionally considered a promising approach for audio source separation. While standard NMF is only suited for single-channel mixtures, extensions to consider multi-channel data have been also proposed. Among the most popular alternatives, multichannel NMF (MNMF) and further derivations based on constrained spatial covariance models have been successfully employed to separate multi-microphone convolutive mixtures. This letter proposes a MNMF extension by considering a mixture model with Ray-Space-transformed signals, where magnitude data successfully encodes source locations as frequency-independent linear patterns. We show that the MNMF alg…
Measuring Spatiotemporal Dependencies in Bivariate Temporal Random Sets with Applications to Cell Biology
2008
Analyzing spatiotemporal dependencies between different types of events is highly relevant to many biological phenomena (e.g., signaling and trafficking), especially as advances in probes and microscopy have facilitated the imaging of dynamic processes in living cells. For many types of events, the segmented areas can overlap spatially and temporally, forming random clumps. In this paper, we model the binary image sequences of two different event types as a realization of a bivariate temporal random set and propose a nonparametric approach to quantify spatial and spatiotemporal interrelations using the pair correlation, cross-covariance, and the Ripley K functions. Based on these summary st…
When do Improved Covariance Matrix Estimators Enhance Portfolio Optimization? An Empirical Comparative Study of Nine Estimators
2010
The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance estimation procedures by using daily returns of 90 highly capitalized US stocks for the period 1997-2007. We find that the usefulness of covariance matrix estimators strongly depends on the ratio between estimation period T and number of stocks N, on the presence or absence of short selling, and on the performance metric considered. When short selling is allowed, several estimation methods achieve a realized risk that is significantly smaller than the one obtai…
Disentangling Derivatives, Uncertainty and Error in Gaussian Process Models
2020
Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems, especially in parameter retrieval. An addition to a predictive mean function, GPs come equipped with a useful property: the predictive variance function which provides confidence intervals for the predictions. The GP formulation usually assumes that there is no input noise in the training and testing points, only in the observations. However, this is often not the case in Earth observation problems where an accurate assessment of the instrument error is usually a…
Variance estimation and asymptotic confidence bands for the mean estimator of sampled functional data with high entropy unequal probability sampling …
2013
For fixed size sampling designs with high entropy it is well known that the variance of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator can be approximated by the H\'ajek formula. The interest of this asymptotic variance approximation is that it only involves the first order inclusion probabilities of the statistical units. We extend this variance formula when the variable under study is functional and we prove, under general conditions on the regularity of the individual trajectories and the sampling design, that we can get a uniformly convergent estimator of the variance function of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator of the mean function. Rates of convergence to the true variance function are given for the re…
How to simulate normal data sets with the desired correlation structure
2010
The Cholesky decomposition is a widely used method to draw samples from multivariate normal distribution with non-singular covariance matrices. In this work we introduce a simple method by using singular value decomposition (SVD) to simulate multivariate normal data even if the covariance matrix is singular, which is often the case in chemometric problems. The covariance matrix can be specified by the user or can be generated by specifying a subset of the eigenvalues. The latter can be an advantage for simulating data sets with a particular latent structure. This can be useful for testing the performance of chemometric methods with data sets matching the theoretical conditions for their app…
Ranking drivers of global carbon and energy fluxes over land
2015
The accurate estimation of carbon and heat fluxes at global scale is paramount for future policy decisions in the context of global climate change. This paper analyzes the relative relevance of potential remote sensing and meteorological drivers of global carbon and energy fluxes over land. The study is done in an indirect way via upscaling both Gross Primary Production (GPP) and latent energy (LE) using Gaussian Process regression (GPR). In summary, GPR is successfully compared to multivariate linear regression (RMSE gain of +4.17% in GPP and +7.63% in LE) and kernel ridge regression (+2.91% in GPP and +3.07% in LE). The best GP models are then studied in terms of explanatory power based o…
Estimate the mean electricity consumption curve by survey and take auxiliary information into account
2012
In this thesis, we are interested in estimating the mean electricity consumption curve. Since the study variable is functional and storage capacities are limited or transmission cost are high survey sampling techniques are interesting alternatives to signal compression techniques. We extend, in this functional framework, estimation methods that take into account available auxiliary information and that can improve the accuracy of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator of the mean trajectory. The first approach uses the auxiliary information at the estimation stage, the mean curve is estimated using model-assisted estimators with functional linear regression models. The second method involves the au…